@dc42
I've taken the board out and turned it over to find this:
It looks the the Bed - pin of the screw terminal has failed. The 'corroded' pin popped off with a light touch and the terminal itself doesn't feel secure (flexes easily). There is a slight bubble there - likely due to heat from the short.
Looks like the screw terminal will need to be replaced, but the mosfet is likely to be ok?